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Jobless Claims Rise but Layoffs Remain Low Amid Trade Turmoil

Marco Sorenson by Marco Sorenson
May 30, 2025
in Economics
Jobless Claims Rise but Layoffs Remain Low Amid Trade Turmoil

The jobless benefit application numbers in the United States exceeded expectations during the last week yet the labor market shows strength despite ongoing trade disputes and economic uncertainty from tariffs.

The Labor Department announced that initial state unemployment benefit claims rose by 14,000 to reach 240,000 during the week ending May 24. The forecasted number of new claims stood at 226,000 but the actual figure exceeded this prediction.

The current number of layoffs shows a slight increase yet they remain lower than the pandemic peak when millions of jobs vanished instantly.

The slight increase in claims occurred at the same time financial markets experienced relief after a federal court decision blocked most of President Donald Trump’s broad tariff regulations. The court ruling created uncertainty about Trump’s core economic strategy which has led to trading partner frustration and economic slowdown concerns and inflation fears.

The Trump administration filed an immediate appeal against the court decision and it remains unknown if the White House will halt emergency tariffs until the higher courts make their decision.

The jobless claims data has remained stable between 200,000 and 250,000 applications since 2021 while employers maintain their reluctance to reduce staff numbers during this period of political uncertainty and legal challenges.

The total number of jobless claims indicates that companies maintain their reluctance to lay off employees because of the current tight labor market conditions despite their challenges with trade policy volatility.

The ongoing tariff debate in court has businesses monitoring how future trade policies will impact their financial performance. The labor market’s stability functions as a vital economic protection mechanism during the current trade-related disturbances.

Tags: Jobs
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